Friday, October 10, 2008

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This is the eighth Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Oregon for Election 2008, and it’s the sixth time Obama has enjoyed a double-digit lead.

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The economy remains the most important issue of Election 2008, and just four percent (4%) of Oregon voters rate the national economy as good or excellent. Sixty-six percent (66%) rate it as poor. Only six percent (6%) believe economic conditions are getting better while 66% say they are getting worse.

The Rasmussen Consumer Index shows consumer and investor confidence nationally at all-time lows.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of Oregon voters trust Obama more on economic issues while 42% prefer McCain. Seventy-two percent (72%) of Oregon voters are investors and, thus, directly impacted by the market meltdown of this past week.

Obama is now viewed favorably by 58% of Oregon voters, McCain by 54%. Obama’s running mate, Joseph Biden, is viewed favorably by 59% while the Republican vice presidential nominee, Sarah Palin, earns positive reviews from 45%.

Nationally, Obama has opened a steady lead in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections.

Oregon has gone for the Democratic candidate in the last five presidential contests. Rasmussen Markets data gives the Democrats a % chance of carrying the state once again this fall. With release of this poll, Oregon moves from “Leans Democratic” to “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

As this poll is released, Obama has the edge in every state won by John Kerry four years ago. However, of the states won by Bush, McCain is trailing in four, and five others are considered a toss-up. As a result, Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 255-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 300-174. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House.

Recent statewide presidential polls have been released for Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Hawaii, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

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