Friday, May 02, 2008

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The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New York shows Hillary Clinton leading John McCain 60% to 31%. Barack Obama has a seventeen-point advantage over the presumptive Republican nominee, 52% to 35% (see video analysis).

For Clinton, the latest poll reflects a significant improvement over the past month. Obama’s numbers are about the same as they were a month ago. Nationally, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows McCain in a very competitive race with both Clinton and Obama.

Both Democrats are viewed favorably by 58% of the state’s voters. McCain earns positive reviews from 50%.

Rasmussen Markets shows that Democrats are currently given a % chance of winning the Empire State’s thirty-three Electoral College Votes this fall. John Kerry won the state for the Democrats in 2004 by eighteen points. Four years earlier, Al Gore won the state by twenty-five percentage points. Immediately prior to release of this poll, New York was rated as “Safely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of the state’s Democrats believe that Clinton should drop out of the race for their party’s nomination. Nineteen percent (19%) say the same about Obama. Those figures are similar to the national average.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of New York voters believe that Clinton would be the stronger candidate against McCain in the fall. Thirty-six percent (36%) see Obama as the stronger general election candidate.

New York voters are evenly divided as to who they think will win the nomination—43% say Obama and 40% Clinton.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.