A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found Senator Hillary Clinton with a twelve-point lead over Senator Barack Obama in New Jersey’s Democratic Presidential Primary. Clinton earns the vote from 49% of Garden State voters while Obama attracts 37%. (see crosstabs)

Two weeks ago, Clinton led Obama by eighteen percentage points.

Clinton leads by 24-percentage points among women while Obama leads by five-points among men.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Obama’s supporters are “certain” they will vote for him and not change their mind. Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Clinton’s voters are that certain of their support.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Garden State voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. The former First Lady earns positive reviews from 84% of women in the state along with 63% of men.

Obama is viewed favorably by 77%, including 82% of men and 74% of women.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) say that Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated by the Democrats. An identical percentage say that Obama would have a chance to win.

Forty-five percent (45%) of New Jersey voters see the economy as the top voting issue. Twenty-six percent (26%) name the War in Iraq and 11% see Health Care as the top priority.

Clinton leads Obama nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, but Obama has gained ground since his victory in South Carolina last Saturday.

Other recent polling data shows Clinton leading by three points in California and six points in Massachusetts (see summary of Rasmussen Reports Super Tuesday polls and an analysis of what’s at stake on Super Tuesday, a day when 42% of the national convention delegates are selected).

Rasmussen Markets data gives Clinton a % chance of winning the Democratic nomination and Obama a % chance. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

A summary of Rasmussen Markets data for Super Tuesday contests is available for both Republicans and Democrats.

Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.