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Romney Leads in New Hampshire
Wednesday, August 15, 2007
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Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to lead all Republicans in polling for the New Hampshire Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds Romney on top with 32% of the vote followed by former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 20%. Arizona Senator John McCain and former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson each earn support from 11% in the poll. The New Hampshire Primary survey was completed before Romney’s victory in the Iowa straw poll last weekend. Nearly half of all Likely Voters nationwide know that Romney won that straw poll and the momentum has helped him gain ground nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Looking to the general election competition for New Hampshire’s four Electoral College votes, new survey data shows Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton with a modest edge over both Romney and Giuliani. Clinton is the default candidate among Democrats nationally and holds a solid lead in New Hampshire’s Democratic Primary. Three percent (3%) of New Hampshire’s Likely Republican Primary Voters say they will vote for Mike Huckabee. Four other candidates split 6% and 17% are undecided. Giuliani is viewed favorably by 80% of Likely Republican Primary Voters in New Hampshire. Romney earns favorable reviews from 75% (much stronger than his numbers nationally) while Thompson is viewed favorably by 62%. McCain, who won the New Hampshire Primary in Election 2000, is viewed favorably by just 53% of Likely Republican Primary Voters. However, he is also viewed unfavorably by 43%. None of the other leading candidates is viewed unfavorably by even half that number. Romney has a solid lead among Republicans likely to vote in the Primary, but is essentially even with Giuliani among independents. At this point in time, most of New Hampshire’s independent Primary voters are planning to take part in the Democratic Primary. Independents looking to vote in the Democratic Primary are more supportive of Barack Obama rather than Clinton. If the Democratic Primary is ultimately seen as noncompetitive, a larger number of Independents are likely to vote in the GOP Primary. That would probably benefit Giuliani. On the other hand, if the GOP race is seen as locked up, an even larger share of independents might participate in the Democratic Primary to the benefit of Obama. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIES42% Support Health Care Reform After Release of Pelosi's Version 49% See GOP Takeover of Congress Next Year As Possible What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Americans Favor Home Buyer Tax Credit Until They Hear How Much It Costs 30% Favor One Party Running the White House and Congress Voters Divided On Whether Passing Good Legislation More Important Than Killing Bad Bills 45% for Obama, 49% Against – If Election Were Held Right Now President Obama: One Year After Winning it All There Is No Honor; There's Only Killing By Debra J. Saunders Advertisement
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