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New Hampshire: Clinton Lead Falls To Single Digits
Saturday, December 01, 2007
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In New Hampshire, home to the first-in-the-nation Presidential Primary, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Barack Obama is now measured in single digits. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone poll of the state’s Likely Primary Voters shows Clinton with 33% of the vote while Obama attracts 26%. John Edwards is the top choice for 15% while Bill Richardson earns 9% of the vote. Joe Biden and Dennis Kucinich are each preferred by 4%. Clinton’s seven-point advantage is down from a ten-point lead in early November. In October, Clinton held a sixteen-point advantage over Obama. A month earlier, Clinton was ahead by twenty-three percentage points. Clinton leads Obama by fourteen among women but trails by three among men. Last month, she led by seventeen among women and was tied among men. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Clinton’s supporters are “certain” they will vote for her. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Obama’s supporters are that certain along with 49% of those who plan to vote for Edwards. Nationally, Clinton continues to hold a solid lead in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Clinton, Obama, and Edwards are essentially in a three-way tie in Iowa. Iowa’s caucuses are scheduled for Thursday, January 3 while New Hampshire’s Primary will take place the following Tuesday, January 8. Thirty-six percent (36%) of the Likely Democratic Primary Voters name the War in Iraq as the most important voting issue. Twenty-four percent (24%) say it’s the economy while 19% named health care. Seventy-three percent (73%) of New Hampshire’s Likely Democratic Primary Voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Eighty-percent (80%) of women have a favorable opinion of her, a view shared by just 66% of men. Forty-six percent (46%) of women have a Very Favorable opinion of Clinton while only 9% have a Very Unfavorable view. Among men, just 29% have a Very Favorable opinion while 15% have a Very Unfavorable view. Overall, 81% offer a positive assessment of both Obama and Edwards. They also earn better reviews from women, but the gap is not as big as it is for Clinton. Richardson is viewed favorably by 68%, Biden by 55%, and Kucinich by 42%. Fifty-four percent (54%) believe that Clinton will win New Hampshire and 55% believe she will be the party’s nominee. Just 25% believe Obama will wrest the nomination away from her and 8% believe Edwards will win in the end. In New Hampshire’s Republican Primary, Mitt Romney has a solid lead while Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Mike Huckabee are competing for second. Huckabee and Romney are the frontrunners in Iowa while Giuliani leads the national polls. See survey questions and topline results. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 959 Likely Dem Primary Voters
TOP STORIES42% Support Health Care Reform After Release of Pelosi's Version 49% See GOP Takeover of Congress Next Year As Possible What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Americans Favor Home Buyer Tax Credit Until They Hear How Much It Costs 30% Favor One Party Running the White House and Congress Voters Divided On Whether Passing Good Legislation More Important Than Killing Bad Bills 45% for Obama, 49% Against – If Election Were Held Right Now President Obama: One Year After Winning it All There Is No Honor; There's Only Killing By Debra J. Saunders Advertisement
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