Nevada has cast its Electoral College Votes for the winning candidate in seven straight Presidential Elections. The last four have been very competitive with nobody carrying the state by more than four percent of the popular vote.

Looking ahead to November 2008, Barack Obama has a twelve-point lead over John McCain in a general election match-up. Obama attracts 50% of the vote while McCain earns 38%.

At the same time, McCain has a nine-point lead over Hillary Clinton, 49% to 40%.

Nationally, Obama outperforms Clinton in general election match-ups against McCain. However, the gap is not as large nationally as it is in Nevada. A similar dynamic was found in New Hampshire and Colorado. Clinton and Obama are essentially even with McCain in Missouri.

When matched against Clinton in Nevada, McCain enjoys a seven-point lead among unaffiliated voters. However, among those same voters, Obama leads McCain by thirty-two points.

Not only that, McCain leads Clinton 76% to 11% among Republicans. However, when matched against Obama, his advantage with the GOP faithful is only 63% to 25%.

Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of Nevada voters and unfavorably by 38%. McCain earns favorable reviews from 45% and unfavorable assessments from 53%. Clinton’s numbers are 41% favorable and 59% unfavorable.

Thirty-three percent (33%) say the economy is the top issue of Election 2008. Twenty-two percent (22%) say immigration is the top priority.

Rasmussen Markets data shows Nevada to be a toss-up at this time, with both parties given a roughly equal chance of victory (current pricing: Democrats % Republicans %).

Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

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