Monday, September 22, 2008

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The first Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Michigan the state finds Barack Obama attracting 51% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. An earlier Rasmussen Reports survey found Obama with a five point advantage two weeks ago. In August, Obama held a four-point advantage.

However, the latest polling shows that just 77% of Obama voters and 74% of McCain supporters are certain they won’t change their mind before voting. That’s enough to keep both campaigns looking at Michigan as a competitive state with just six weeks to go. Nationally, the race remains close in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

In Michigan, Obama trails by seven among white voters but attracts 84% of all other voters in the state (full demographic crosstabs are available for Premium Members).

The Democratic hopeful is viewed favorably by 59% of voters statewide. McCain earns positive reviews from 53%.

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Fifty-two percent (52%) of Michigan voters say the economy is the top issue for Election 2008. On that issue, 51% say they trust Obama more than McCain while 41% voice the opposite opinion.

On national security matters, McCain is trusted more, but just 19% of Michigan voters rank that as their top voting priority.

Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel jointly release a series battleground state polls every Monday night at 6:00 p.m. Eastern. Other polls tonight were released for Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Premium Members can review full demographic crosstabs for all state polls and get the first look at all Rasmussen Reports polling data. Learn More.

Michigan’s 17 Electoral College votes have gone to the Democratic candidates in the last four presidential elections. Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is currently given a % chance of winning the state this year. At the time this poll was released, Michigan was ranked as “Leans Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

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See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.