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Massachusetts: Obama 51% McCain 38%

Since there have been 50-states in the nation, Ronald Reagan is the only Republican to win the state of Massachusetts. In 1972, Massachusetts was the only state to vote for George McGovern. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Bay State finds that John McCain is not likely to break that well-established trend.

Barack Obama leads McCain 51% to 38% in the May 29 survey of 500 Likely Voters. Those figures are virtually unchanged from a month ago. Massachusetts finds both potential democratic presidential candidates ahead of John McCain by double-digits. Hillary Clinton leads the Republican 55% to 36%, while Obama leads 51% to 39%.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is given a % of winning the Bay State’s twelve Electoral College votes this November. Massachusetts is currently rated as “Safely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Obama is viewed favorably by 61% of the state’s voters, McCain by 53%. For Obama, that’s a two-point improvement over the past month. McCain’s rating is down four points from 57%.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Massachusetts’ voters say getting the troops home from Iraq is more important than winning the war. Twenty-nine percent (29%) take the opposite view and say it’s more important to win the War.

If McCain is elected President, 38% say the U.S. is at least somewhat likely to win the war in Iraq. Just 22% say victory is likely if Obama wins. However, 62% believe that a President Obama is likely to bring the troops home during his first term in office. Just 34% say the same is likely to happen if McCain is our next President.

Just 18% of Massachusetts voters say that George W. Bush is doing a good or excellent job as President. Sixty-five percent (65%) say he is doing a poor job.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Massachusetts
Safe Democratic

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

34%

36%

36%

Obama (D)

62%

57%

58%

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 29, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Massachusetts Trends: McCain vs. Clinton

Date

McCain

Clinton

05/29/2008

30%

60%

04/22/2008

36%

55%

03/18/2008

35%

54%

Massachusetts Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/13/2008

34%

62%

09/22/2008

38%

58%

08/05/2008

36%

51%

06/30/2008

33%

53%

05/29/2008

38%

51%

04/22/2008

39%

51%

03/18/2008

42%

49%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Massachusetts

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

20%

48%

Somewhat Favorable

29%

19%

Somewhat Unfavorable

30%

13%

Very Unfavorable

20%

20%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

260

Toss-Ups & Leaners

118


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.