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Obama Leads By Four in Maine

John McCain has pulled within four points of Barack Obama in Maine. That’s the closest he has been in any of the six monthly polls Rasmussen Reports has conducted in the state since April.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Maine voters finds Obama with 50% of the vote and McCain with 46% (demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members).

Last month, and in July, Obama was up by double digits.

Forty-six percent (46%) say the economy is the top issue of Election 2008 while 20% see national security as the highest priority.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

In Maine, McCain is now supported by 82% of Republicans and 22% of Democrats. The latter figure is up from 14% in August.

Obama earns the vote from 76% of Democrats and 12% of GOP voters. He holds a 10-point advantage among unaffiliated voters.

Obama’s ratings in Maine are 61% favorable, unchanged from a month ago. McCain is now viewed favorably by 56%, up three points from a month ago.

As for the running mates, 54% have a favorable opinion of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin while 48% say the same about Delaware Senator Joe Biden.

Fifty-two percent (52%) say John McCain made the right choice when adding Palin to his ticket. Thirty-three percent (33%) say Obama made the right choice by selecting Biden.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) say that Palin is politically conservative while 41% view Biden as politically liberal.

Maine has cast its four Electoral College votes for the Democratic candidate in the last four presidential elections. In 2004, John Kerry won the state over George W. Bush by nine percentage points. At the time the poll was released, the state was classified as “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a % chance of winning Maine’s four Electoral College votes this fall. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join, so add your voice to the collective wisdom.

Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the presidential race this week for Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia, Wisconsin, Utah and Delaware. Additional state poll results will be released throughout the weekend and first thing Monday morning. Next week, RasmussenReports.com also will release state polls Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed. Premium Members can review full demographic crosstabs for all state polls and get the first look at all Rasmussen Reports polling data. Learn More.

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See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available to Premium Members only.

Maine
Likely Democratic

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

43%

45%

40%

Obama (D)

56%

52%

52%

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 17, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Maine Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/01/2008

43%

56%

10/02/2008

46%

51%

09/17/2008

46%

50%

08/12/2008

36%

49%

07/17/2008

36%

46%

06/16/2008

33%

55%

05/14/2008

38%

51%

04/01/2008

39%

49%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Maine

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

21%

45%

Somewhat Favorable

31%

18%

Somewhat Unfavorable

22%

9%

Very Unfavorable

23%

27%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

260

Toss-Ups & Leaners

118


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.