Rasmussen Reports

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today. »

-Larry Sabato, University of Virginia

« Rasmussen, an organization with fast zeitgeist reflexes.... «

-The Politico

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« The best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com «

-Michael Barone, The Washington Examiner`

« If you really want to know what people in America think, you can't find a better place to look than Rasmussen Reports «

-Susan Estrich

« If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y.Times, go with Rasmussen! »

-Mickey Kaus, Slate Magazine
Premium MembershipLoginSignup
Search
Sign up for free daily updates
Advertisement
Advertisement

Is Giuliani Most Electable Republican? GOP Voters Not as Certain
Email a Friend Email to a Friend
Advertisement

The perception that Rudy Giuliani is the most electable Republican may be slipping a bit.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 66% of Republicans believe that Giuliani at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That’s down from 72% a month ago.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republican voters now say that Fred Thompson is at least somewhat likely to win in nominated. That’s up from 57% last month.

The gap between Giuliani and Thompson virtually disappears at a higher level of confidence—23% of Republican voters say that Giuliani is Very Likely to win if nominated while 22% say the same about Thompson.

Being seen as the most electable candidate is important for Giuliani because two-thirds of Republican voters see him as politically moderate or liberal. Thompson is seen as the most conservative candidate in the field.

As a whole, however, Republican voters are a lot less confident of victory than Democrats. Hillary Clinton is seen by those in her party as the most electable Democrat.

John McCain, struggling in the national polls, does fairly well in the electability category. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Republicans say he is at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. That includes 16% who believe he would be Very Likely to win.

Forty-seven percent (47%) say Mitt Romney is at least Somewhat Likely to emerge victorious if nominated. That’s down from 55% a month ago. Ten percent (10%) think Romney would be Very Likely to win, down from 15% in September.

Mike Huckabee is gaining ground both in Iowa and in the daily Presidential Tracking Poll. However, just 35% think he is at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Only 10% see a Huckabee victory as Very Likely.

Ron Paul has passionate supporters and a lot of campaign money, but just 17% think he has any chance of winning the general election if nominated. Only 4% believe he would be Very Likely to win it all.

In the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, Giuliani and Thompson remain the top contenders while Romney is consistently in third place followed by McCain and Huckabee.

Among all voters, 46% think Giuliani has a chance to win if nominated, 43% say McCain has a shot and 40% say the same about Thompson. Thirty-two percent (32%) say Romney could win, 22% see Huckabee as at least a somewhat likely victor and 12% think Paul could possibly win if nominated.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Most Electable Candidate Among Republican Voters

GOP Candidate

Likely

Not Likely

Rudy Giuliani

66%

26%

Fred Thompson

61%

32%

John McCain

57%

37%

Mitt Romney

47%

45%

Mike Huckabee

35%

57%

Ron Paul

17%

71%

Most Electable Candidate Among All Voters

GOP Candidate

Likely

Not Likely

Rudy Giuliani

46%

45%

Fred Thompson

40%

50%

John McCain

43%

50%

Mitt Romney

32%

58%

Mike Huckabee

22%

67%

Ron Paul

12%

76%

TOP STORIES

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Negatives for Pelosi, Reid, Boehner Hit Record Highs

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls

53% Remain Opposed to Health Care Plan

Just 53% Say Capitalism Better Than Socialism

47% Don’t Think Daylight Saving Time Worth the Hassle

38% in Minnesota for Pawlenty If He Runs for President

57% Predict Health Care Plan Will Hurt The Economy

Obama Approval Index Month-by-Month

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 44%, Democrats 37%

Advertisement