Rasmussen Reports

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today. »

-Larry Sabato, University of Virginia

« Rasmussen, an organization with fast zeitgeist reflexes.... «

-The Politico

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« The best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com «

-Michael Barone, The Washington Examiner`

« If you really want to know what people in America think, you can't find a better place to look than Rasmussen Reports «

-Susan Estrich

« If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y.Times, go with Rasmussen! »

-Mickey Kaus, Slate Magazine
Premium MembershipLoginSignup
Search
Sign up for free daily updates
Advertisement
Advertisement

Election 2008: Obama 46% McCain 38%
Email a Friend Email to a Friend
Advertisement

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone poll finds Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) with an eight point lead over Arizona Senator John McCain (R). It’s Obama 46% McCain 38%.

Obama’s total is unchanged from a month ago, but McCain has lost four percentage points since May. This is the third straight monthly poll in which Obama has enjoyed an advantage over McCain. For the two months before that, they were tied.

Obama is now viewed favorably by 50% of all voters and unfavorably by 44%. Among Democrats, 70% have a favorable opinion. The newcomer to the national scene consistently polls in second place among those seeking the Democratic Presidential nomination.

In other general election match-ups, Obama trails former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani by double digits, leads former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson by three points, and leads former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney by twelve.

McCain’s popularity has been falling throughout the campaign season. Currently, he is viewed favorably by 48% of American voters and unfavorably by 45%. Last December, McCain had been viewed favorably by 59% of voters. As recently as two months ago, 55% had a positive assessment of the Senator from Arizona.

McCain is now viewed favorably by just over half (55%) of those in his own party. Only 10% of GOP voters have a Very Favorable opinion of him. Forty-percent (40%) have an unfavorable opinion.

When the season began, McCain was perceived as the dominant frontrunner for the Republican Presidential nomination. As the year has unfolded, voters have come to see McCain as more and more conservative. Despite this shift to the right, he has been losing ground in a nominating process dominated by conservatives. His support has fallen to 11% in our latest polling of that race. That’s just half the support he enjoyed in January. Rasmussen Reports released a special look at what has happened to the McCain campaign.

In other match-ups, Senator McCain leads New York Senator Hillary Clinton but trails former North Carolina Senator John Edwards.

Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Also available are ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 800 Likely Voters
June 13-14, 2007

John McCain (R) vs.
Barack Obama (D)

John McCain (R)

38%

Barack Obama (D)

46%

TOP STORIES

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Republicans Lead Democrats by 10 in Generic Ballot, Highest Lead Yet

43% Favor Health Care Plan, 53% Oppose

Constitutional Law 101 By Tony Blankley

The Sestak Scandal: This is "Draining the Swamp?" By Howard Rich

Voters Take Global Warming Less Seriously

49% Say Israel Should Stop Building Settlements As Part of Peace Deal

Negatives for Pelosi, Reid, Boehner Hit Record Highs

Just 13% Say It’s Illegal Not To Answer Census Questions

Americans Split Over Post-Recession Nest Egg

Advertisement