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Colorado: McCain, Obama Tied
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
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The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Colorado shows McCain tied with Barack Obama at 46% while enjoying a 52% to 38% advantage over Hillary Clinton. Compared to polling from a month ago, McCain has gained ground on Obama while retaining a consistent lead over Clinton. These results confirm a trend also found in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and New Hampshire. Since wrapping up the Republican nomination, McCain has seen his polling numbers improve in key states and nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Of course, McCain has also benefited from the ongoing battle over the Democratic nomination. McCain is viewed favorably by 61% of Colorado voters, up from 55% a month ago. Just 36% have an unfavorable opinion of the presumptive Republican nominee. Fifty-five percent (55%) of Colorado voters currently have a favorable opinion of Obama, down from 60% a month ago. The number with an unfavorable view of Obama has increased to 44% from 36%. Clinton is viewed favorably by 44% and unfavorably by 55%. Those figures are little changed. Clinton remains the most well known candidate in the race and opinions about the former First Lady are more firmly established than for either McCain or Obama. The economy is considered the top voting issue by 39% of Colorado voters while 18% name the War in Iraq and 12% say immigration. National Security is named the top issue by 11%, Health Care by 8%. Among voters who consider the economy as the top issue, McCain and Clinton are essentially even. Obama has a ten-point advantage over McCain among that group. Both Democrats have twenty-something point leads over McCain among those who see Iraq as the top priority. However, McCain has leads ranging from sixty-five to ninety-one points over his rivals among voters who see immigration and national security as the most important issues. Just 15% of Colorado voters rate the economy as good or excellent. Thirty-five percent (35%) say fair and 49% poor. Just 6% believe the economy is getting better while 74% say worse. Nationally, the Rasmussen Consumer Index shows consumer and investor confidence to be at the lowest levels of the past seven years. A Rasmussen Reports video analysis shows how rapidly economic confidence has deteriorated and a separate survey found that 38% of Americans believe a Depression is somewhat likely in the near future. Fifty-three percent (53%) of Colorado voters say that the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That’s slightly more optimistic than the nation-at-large. Twenty-four percent (24%) in Colorado say the terrorists are winning. Forty-two percent (42%) believe the situation in Iraq will get better over the next six months while 31% expect it to get worse. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe that American society is generally fair and decent while 21% say it is unfair and discriminatory. Colorado is currently considered a Toss-Up state in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. This Calculator aggregates data from a variety of sources to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White House. Data inputs include the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state, an average of the latest polling from other firms, Rasmussen Markets data, Intrade market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state’s voting history, and national party identification trends. Rasmussen Markets data shows Colorado to be a toss-up at this time, with both parties given a roughly equal chance of victory (current pricing: Democrats % Republicans %). Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market. See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Colorado Survey of 500 Likely Voters
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