In his home state of Arizona, John McCain leads Mitt Romney by nine percentage points. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found McCain earning 43% of the vote while Romney attracts 34%.

Among conservatives in his home state, McCain trails 44% to 36%. However, he holds a forty-three point lead among political moderates in the state. McCain leads among voters who consider the economy and the War in Iraq as the top issue. However, among voters who see immigration as the highest priority, Romney leads 47% to 31%.

Thirty percent (30%) of Arizona’s Likely Republican Primary voters see the economy as the top issue for Election 2008. Twenty-six percent (26%) think that immigration is most important.

Mike Huckabee gets just 9% of the vote in Arizona while Ron Paul picks up 7% and 4% say they plan on voting for some other candidate. Twenty-eight percent (28%) of the state’s voters say they still might change their mind before voting on Tuesday.

Fifty-three delegates are at stake in the winner-take-all primary. McCain has solid leads in three other winner-take-all states—New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut Victories in these states plus Arizona would yield 236 delegates for McCain. Another winner-take-all state—Missouri —is too close to call. Fifty-eight delegates are up for grabs in Missouri.

In his home state, McCain is seen as far more electable than Romney. Seventy-five percent (75%) say that their Senator would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Just 53% say the same about the former Governor of Massachusetts.

Nationally, McCain and Romney are on top in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain leads Huckabee in Alabama and the race is very close in Missouri and Tennessee. McCain leads in the winner-take-all state of New Jersey. He also holds modest leads over Romney in California, Connecticut, and Illinois (see summary of Rasmussen Reports Super Tuesday polls).

Rasmussen Markets data gives McCain an % chance of winning the nomination while Mitt Romney is at %. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

A summary of Rasmussen Markets data for Super Tuesday contests is available for both Republicans and Democrats.

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