Thursday, May 29, 2008

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There are no surprises in the first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Presidential race in Alabama. John McCain leads Barack Obama by twenty-eight percentage points, 60% to 32%. George W. Bush won the state by twenty-five points in Election 2004 and by fourteen points four years earlier. The state’s Senate Race is also looking good for the GOP.

Nationally, McCain and Obama remain quite competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain attracts 91% of Republicans, 13% of Democrats, and enjoys a twenty-three percentage point advantage among the state’s unaffiliated voters.

McCain is viewed favorably by 62% of voters statewide while Obama earns positive reviews from just 36%.

Rasmussen Markets data gives the Republican candidate a % chance of winning Alabama’s nine Electoral College votes this fall. The state is listed as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Alabama voters say it is more important for the United States to win the War in Iraq than to get the troops home. Forty-three percent (43%) hold the opposite view and say it is more important to bring the troops home. The results in Alabama are a mirror image of the national average. Alabama is the only state surveyed so far to place a higher priority on winning the War.

If John McCain is elected in November, 63% say U.S. victory in Iraq is likely. Just 23% victory is likely if Obama wins the White House. Fifty-two percent (52%) say that a President Obama would get the troops home during his first term in office. Forty-nine percent (49%) say McCain would do the same.

Forty-five percent (45%) of Alabama voters say that President Bush is doing a good or excellent job. Thirty-five percent (35%) say he is doing a poor job. Nationally, the President’s Job Approval Ratings are near the lowest levels ever recorded.

The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.