« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «
« Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today. »
-Larry Sabato, University of Virginia« Rasmussen, an organization with fast zeitgeist reflexes.... «
-The Politico« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «
« The best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com «
-Michael Barone, The Washington Examiner`« If you really want to know what people in America think, you can't find a better place to look than Rasmussen Reports «
-Susan Estrich« If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y.Times, go with Rasmussen! »
-Mickey Kaus, Slate Magazine
Advertisement
|
Advertisement
62% Expect Obama to Win Democratic Nomination
Friday, April 11, 2008
Advertisement
Sixty-two percent (62%) of all voters now believe that Barack Obama will win the Democratic Presidential nomination. That’s up from 54% in late March. Just 23% now believe Hillary Clinton will be the nominee, down from 24% in March. Among Democrats 63% expect Obama to win (up from 52%) while 26% say it will be Clinton (down from 28%). Rasmussen Markets currently suggests that Obama has an % chance of winning the nomination. Thirty-two percent (32%) of Democratic voters nationwide now say that Clinton should drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination. That’s up from 22% in the previous survey. A majority of African-American voters (54%) believe that Clinton should withdraw from the competition. Twenty-six percent (26%) now say that Obama should drop out of the race (up from 22%). Ten percent (10%) want both candidates to drop out (up from 6%). Fifty-two percent (52%) of Democrats aren’t ready for either candidate to leave the race. That’s down from 62% in late March. On several occasions, Clinton cited the 62% figure at campaign events and television interviews to counter suggestions that she should withdraw from the race. Nationally, Obama has recently held a very modest lead over Clinton in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Obama supporters think Clinton should drop out (up from 47%). Only 19% of Obama supporters think Clinton should remain in the race. By a 49% to 41% margin, Clinton supporters say that Obama should drop out. In late March, just 38% of Clinton supporters thought it was time for Obama to withdraw. Clinton leads Obama in Pennsylvania while Obama leads Clinton in North Carolina. Among unaffiliated voters, 34% say Clinton should drop out while 26% say the same about Obama. The national telephone survey also found that 85% of all Democrats—and 86% of all voters—believe it is at least somewhat likely the Democratic nomination will remain unresolved until the Democratic convention in August. Forty-eight percent (48%) of all Democrats believe that a decision at the convention is Very Likely. Fifty percent (50%) of all voters say that Barack Obama would be the stronger general election candidate against John McCain. Twenty-nine percent (29%) say Clinton would provide the bigger challenge and 21% are not sure. Among Democratic voters, 48% say Obama would be the stronger candidate while 38% say Clinton. Both Democrats currently are competitive with John McCain nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. See survey wording and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 800 Likely Voters
TOP STORIES49% See GOP Takeover of Congress Next Year As Possible 42% Support Health Care Reform After Release of Pelosi's Version Americans Favor Home Buyer Tax Credit Until They Hear How Much It Costs There Is No Honor; There's Only Killing By Debra J. Saunders President Obama: One Year After Winning it All 45% for Obama, 49% Against – If Election Were Held Right Now 72% Say Health Plan Likely to Shift Employees from Private Insurance to Government Plan Generic Ballot Shows No Change This Week 55% Expect Washington Politics to Grow More Partisan Advertisement
|
||||||||||||