Thursday, October 02, 2008

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Montana's gubernatorial race may be closer this month, but incumbent Governor Brian Schweitzer still leads his Republican challenger Roy Brown by 15 percentage points. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the Democrat ahead 56% to 41%.

In July, Schweitzer led his opponent 56% to 32%. The popular governor is now seeking his second term in office. This month, 58% rate his job performance as good or excellent, while 19% say he is doing a poor job.

Brown served four terms in Montana’s House of Representatives before being elected to the state Senate last year.

Schweitzer leads Brown 59% to 36% among unaffiliated voters. He also has a 61% to 34% advantage among women in Nebraska. Men are more evenly divided, favoring the incumbent by just a 50% to 48% margin.

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Rasmussen Markets data shows Schweitzer with a % chance of keeping his job in November. This figure is updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Schweitzer is viewed favorably by 63% of voters in Nebraska and unfavorably by 35%. Brown’s ratings are 45% favorable, 48% unfavorable.

The latest numbers from Montana’s presidential election will be released today at 5 p.m. Eastern.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.