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Virginia Senate: Webb and Allen Dead Even
Allen (R) 49%; Webb (D) 49%
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The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of the bitterly fought U.S. Senate race in Virginia shows the contest too close to call, with both Republican Senator George Allen and Democratic challenger James Webb collecting 49% (see crosstabs).

That makes Virginia one of two remaining Toss-Ups in our Senate Balance of Power summary, which now shows 49 seats Democrat or Leaning Democrat, 49 seats Republican or Leaning Republican. The other Toss-Up, Missouri, was always expected to be close. For most of Election 2006, Virginia was thought to be safely in the GOP column.

The latest poll, conducted November 2, shows Allen drawing a few more Republicans (88%) than Webb draws Democrats (85%). Webb leads 53% to 40% among independents.

Senator Allen, once expected to win easily, is viewed "very unfavorably" by 29% now, Webb by 20%. Webb is viewed favorably by 55% overall, the incumbent by only 50%.

In July, before the "macaca" business made this race competitive, Allen was viewed favorably by 64%, Webb by 46%. The "very unfavorable" ratings were much lower for both men: 13% for Allen, 8% for Webb, who was then an unknown to about a quarter of voters.

Thirty percent (30%) of Webb voters say they are voting against Allen rather than for Webb.

On both Iraq and the economy, Allen has a narrow edge when voters say which candidate they trust more.

Fifty percent (50%) say the U.S. and its allies are winning the war on terror, only 22% say the terrorists are. But 48% say the war in Iraq is going poorly.

Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
November 2, 2006

Election 2006: Virginia Senate

George Allen (R)

49%

James Webb (D)

49%

Election 2006: Virginia Senate
Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys

Allen

Webb

Oct 22-Oct 29-Nov 2

48%

49%

Oct 12-Oct 22-Oct 29

47%

48%

Oct 1-Oct 12-Oct 22

48%

45%

Sep-Oct 1-

Oct 12

49%

43%

Aug-Sep-Oct

49%

43%

Jul-Aug-Sep

49%

41%

Jun-Jul-Aug

49%

41%

Apr-Jun-Jul

50%

37%

Mar-Apr-Jun

52%

34%

Feb-Mar-Apr

51%

32%

Election 2006: Virginia Senate

Date

Allen

Webb

Nov 2

49%

49%

Oct 29

46%

51%

Oct 24

49%

48%

Oct 12

47%

44%

Oct 1

49%

43%

Sep 12

50%

43%

Aug 16

47%

42%

Jul 18

50%

39%

Jun 14

51%

41%

Apr 11

50%

30%

Mar 15

54%

30%

Feb 8

49%

37%

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