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California Governor: Schwarzenegger by 13
Schwarzenegger (R) 53%; Angelides (D) 40%
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Incumbent Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has extended his lead over Democrat Phil Angelides in California’s gubernatorial race. The most recent Rasmussen Reports election survey shows Schwarzenegger leading 53% to 40% (see crosstabs). That’s a four-point bump for the governor from earlier in October.

Angelides’ numbers remain unchanged since the last poll, while Schwarzenegger finally passes the 50% mark for the first time since Rasmussen Reports began polling this race in January.

Schwarzenegger’s “very favorable” score continues to climb—he’s added three points to that stat over the past three weeks (27%)—while Angelides’ has dropped a point to 9%.

The governor has also added a point to his “very unfavorable” rating (19%). However, the number with a “very unfavorable” opinion of Angelides has jumped six points to 31%.

Twenty-six percent (26%) say they “strongly approve” of Schwarzenegger’s job performance—a three-point bounce in the governor’s favor. His strong disapproval score remains unchanged at 22%.

Two-thirds of Schwarzenegger voters (66%) are casting their ballots for him because they want him to have a second term. Thirty-one percent (31%) will do so to vote against Angelides. The majority of Angelides supporters (58%) say they’re voting for him simply to vote against the governor. Thirty-five percent (35%) are voting for Angelides because he’s their candidate of choice.

A solid majority (58%) of California voters rate the situation in Iraq as “poor.” That’s similar to the national average of 56%.

Fifty percent (50%) of voters say they trust Democrats more than Republicans (40%) when it comes to handling the situation in that troubled land.

Democrats also trump Republicans when it comes to the economy, though by a slimmer margin. Forty-eight percent (48%) trust Democrats to handle matters relating to the economy more than they trust Republicans (42%.)

Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
October 28, 2006

Election 2006:
California Governor

Arnold Schwarzenegger (R)

53%

Phil Angelides (D)

40%

Election 2006:
California Governor

Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys

Schwarz.

Angel.

Sep-Oct 10-

Oct 28

50%

40%

Aug-Sep-Oct

48%

40%

Jul 20-Aug-Sep

47%

41%

Jul 5-Jul 20-Aug

46%

43%

May-Jul 5-Jul 20

45%

44%

Apr-May-Jul 5

46%

42%

Mar-Apr-May

46%

42%

Feb-Mar-Apr

44%

41%

Jan-Feb-Mar

42%

42%

Election 2006:
California Governor

Date

Schwarz.

Angel.

Oct 28

53%

40%

Oct 10

49%

40%

Sep 7

47%

39%

Aug 22

48%

42%

Jul 20

47%

41%

Jul 5

44%

46%

May 15

45%

45%

Apr 5

49%

36%

Mar 15

44%

45%

Feb 8

40%

41%

Jan 15

41%

39%

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