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Pennsylvania: Kerry 49% Bush 45%
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In Pennsylvania, Senator John Kerry leads President George Bush 49% to 45% in the latest Rasmussen Reports survey.

Pennsylvania is one of the largest Battleground states in Election 2004. Along with Michigan, Ohio, and Florida, it accounts for the bulk of the Electoral Votes that are currently in play and could go either way.

Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

A month ago, the candidates were virtually tied with Kerry at 46% and Bush at 45%. Two months ago, Kerry held a 48% to 43% lead in Pennsylvania. Three months ago, Bush was up by a single point, 45% to 44%.

The Keystone State remains in the Toss-Up column for our Electoral College projections.

Bush and Kerry each attract 79% of the vote from their own party. Kerry has an 18-point lead among unaffiliated voters at this time.

In Pennsylvania, 52% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's down a point from a month ago, but up five from two months ago. It remains close to his national Job Approval rating.

Leading up to the Republican National Convention, we have released state polling data in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio. Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 13,000 Likely Voters

Aug 1-26, 2004

Pennsylvania 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

45%

Kerry

49%

Other

2%

Not Sure

4%

RasmussenReports.com

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