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Ohio: Kerry 48% Bush 46%
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Many pundits think Ohio may be the decisive state in the Election 2004 Presidential race. If the race remains close it is certainly one of the four biggest states in play for the Electoral College competition (along with Florida, Michigan, and Pennsylvania).

If either Presidential candidate wins three of those four states, he is likely to win the election.

Neither candidate, however, can feel confident about Ohio. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows the state remains too close to call--Senator Kerry earns 48% of the vote while President Bush attracts 46%.

A month ago, Kerry was up by a single point in the Rasmussen Reports poll, 46% to 45%. The month before, Bush held a four-point lead in the state, 46% to 42%.

These latest figures mean that Ohio remains firmly in the "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

Bush leads 49% to 46% among Investors in Ohio but trails 52% to 42% among non-Investors.

Four years ago, in Election 2000, Ohio went for Bush over Al Gore, 50% Gore 46%.

In Ohio, 50% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's down four points from a month ago and slightly below the President's national Job Approval rating.

Leading up to the Republican National Convention, we have released state polling data in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio. Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin

Beginning September 1, Rasmussen Reports will expand our Tracking Poll to 1,000 Likely Voters per night. At the same time, we will increase the flow of information provided both on the public site and for our Premium Members.

Premium Service during the final two months of the campaign will include daily tracking for Florida, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania along with provide frequent updates for many other states and key Senate races. Details on the Premium Member enhancements will be released this weekend.

State data will be provided for the public site on a regular, but less frequent, basis.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 13,000 Likely Voters

August 1-26, 2004

Ohio 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

46%

Kerry

48%

Other

2%

Not Sure

3%

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