New Jersey remains likely to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November. However, the Democrats' lead in the state is a bit smaller now than it was a month ago.

The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with 51% of the vote to 43% for President Bush. While Kerry's share of the vote has remained unchanged, Bush gained ground compared to our last survey. A month ago, Kerry held a thirteen point lead, 51% to 38%.

It is impossible to know whether or not this the change is related to scandals surrounding Governor McGreevey.

Four years ago, Bush lost the Garden State to Al Gore by sixteen points, 56% to 40%. New Jersey remains in the "Likely Kerry" category in our Electoral College projections.

Kerry attracts 72% of New Jersey Democrats while Bush earns the vote from 81% of the state's Republicans.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of New Jersey voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up three points from a month ago, but still well below his national Job Approval rating.

Leading up to the Republican National Convention, we have released state polling data in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio. Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin