In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.

A month ago, Kerry was ahead by a similar 50% to 44% margin. Two months ago, Kerry had a two-point lead in Michigan, 46% to 44%. Three months ago, it was Kerry 47% Bush 41% in our Michigan poll.

Throughout the year, the state has bounced back and forth between Toss-Up and Leans Kerry in our Electoral College projections (we require a five-point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

With this new survey, Michigan is back in the Leans Kerry column. Our mid-month survey, provided to Premium Members only, had caused us to temporarily move the state to Toss-Up status.

Kerry attracts 79% of the liberal vote in Michigan, and 64% of the moderate vote. Bush gets 72% of the conservative vote.

In Michigan, 50% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's the third straight month the President's Job Approval rating has improved a single point. It is still a bit below his national Job Approval rating.

Leading up to the Republican National Convention, we have released state polling data in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio. Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin

Beginning September 1, Rasmussen Reports will expand our Tracking Poll to 1,000 Likely Voters per night. At the same time, we will increase the flow of information provided both on the public site and for our Premium Members.

Premium Service during the final two months of the campaign will include daily tracking for Florida, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania along with provide frequent updates for many other states and key Senate races. Details on the Premium Member enhancements will be released this weekend.

State data will be provided for the public site on a regular, but less frequent, basis.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.