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76% Say We'll Know Winner Next Tuesday
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Despite the close race and memories from four years ago, 76% of voters expect we'll know who won sometime on election night. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 14% expect it will take a few days to straighten things out while another 7% think it will take a week or more.

Bush voters are more optimistic than Kerry voters about an early resolution of Election 2004. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Bush voters expect the winner to be known by the end of election night. Only 69% of Kerry voters share that view.

At the other extreme, 27% of Kerry voters think we won't know the winner for at least several days (including 9% who think the legal battles and recounts will take a week or more).

Among Bush voters, just 15% think it will take a few days or more (including 4% who expect a week long delay).

The survey also found that 60% of voters are now worried about a Florida-style mess again this year. That's up from 58% a week ago and 44% earlier in the year. Forty-eight percent (48%) of Kerry voters are "very" worried about such a possibility along with 16% of Bush voters.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence. We also update our Electoral College projections on a regular basis.

Rasmussen Reports has recently released state election polls for Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Washington, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters

Oct 25, 2004

When Will We Know the Winner of the Presidential Election?

Before Election Day

4%

Early Election Night

27%

Late Election Night

45%

A Few Days Later

14%

Week or More after Election Day

7%

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