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New Jersey Senate
Kean (R) 43% Menendez (D) 36%
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The son of former Governor Tom Kean (R) now has a seven percentage point advantage in New Jersey's U.S. Senate campaign. The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll in the Garden State shows Republican Tom Kean, Jr. leading Senator Robert Menendez (D) 43% to 36%.

Seven percent (7%) of voters say that they will vote for some other candidate and 14% remain undecided in this Democratic leaning state.

A month ago, Kean held a two-point advantage, 41% to 39%.

Kean has solidified support among Republicans since our last poll while Menendez has lost ground among Democrats. From an ideological perspective, Kean has improved his standing with conservative voters in the state.

Sixty-six percent (66%) of New Jersey voters believe that the U.S. should gain control of its borders and enforce existing laws before considering other immigration reform. Just 29% disagree.

As an ultimate policy goal, 57% of New Jersey voters believe that all should be welcome to legally enter the United States except national security threats, criminals, and those who plan to live off the U.S. welfare system.

Nationally, in purely political terms, Democrats lost ground during the recent Congressional debate concerning immigration. It is not clear whether or not the issue had any particular impact on the New Jersey Senate race.

While Kean leads in the poll, Menendez is currently leading in the fundraising competition. According to recent filings, the incumbent's campaign has more than $6 million cash on hand compared to $2 million for the Kean campaign.

Menendez is the incumbent, having been appointed to replace Jon Corzine (D). Corzine resigned from the Senate after being elected Governor of New Jersey.

Sixty percent (60%) of New Jersey voters say that tax hikes hurt the economy. Just 15% say that they help. Kean has a solid lead (56% to 26%) among those who believe tax increases are bad for the economy.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters say that preparing their taxes is worse than going to the dentist. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say a trip to the dental chair is worse.

The rolling average of the last three Rasmussen Reports election polls in New Jersey is unchanged from a month ago. Using this measure, Kean still leads by just two points 40% to 38%. This suggests that the race still remains very competitive. That, plus the Menendez cash advantage and the Democratic leaning of the state, should keep the Kean campaign from getting comfortable with their lead in the current poll.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 11, 2006

Election 2006:
New Jersey Senate

Tom Kean, Jr. (R)

43%

Robert Menendez (D)

36%

Election 2006:
New Jersey Senate
Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys

Menen.

Kean

Feb-Mar-Apr

38%

40%

Jan-Feb-Mar

38%

40%

Dec-Jan-Feb

37%

37%

Election 2006:
New Jersey Senate

Date

Menen.

Kean

Apr 11

36%

43%

Mar 27

39%

41%

Feb 14

39%

36%

Jan 18

35%

42%

Dec 7

38%

34%

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