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Michigan Senate: Stabenow’s Lead a Stable 16
Stabenow (D) 55%; Bouchard (R) 39%
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Incumbent U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow is maintaining a stable lead in her re-election bid over Republican challenger Michael Bouchard. The most recent Rasmussen Reports election survey shows Stabenow leading Bouchard 55% to 39% (see crosstabs). When leaners are added into the mix, each candidate jumps a point (56% to 40%).

Bouchard’s numbers remain unchanged since a poll taken earlier this month while Stabenow has dropped a point.

Forty-seven percent (47%) Michigan voters say they’re “certain” to vote for her. One-third (33%) they’re “certain” to vote for Bouchard.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters feel favorably toward Stabenow—33% report a “very favorable” opinion of the incumbent while 21% have a ”very unfavorable” opinion.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voter rate Bouchard favorably including 19% with a “very favorable” opinion. Forty-five percent (45%) rate him unfavorably including 23% with a “very unfavorable” impression.

Three-quarters (75%) of Michigan voters say they’re following the developments in the Mark Foley story closely—39% are following the story “very closely.” Despite a clear majority paying attention to the Foley story, 58% say the situation will not impact their votes next month.

A plurality of voters (43%) rate the Republican leadership’s handling of the situation as “poor,” but when asked how Democrats would have fared had Foley been a Democrat, 45% say they would have handled the situation “about the same.” Those numbers are roughly comparable to the national average.

Forty-three percent (43%) believe that inappropriate relationships between members of Congress and staff are common, 33% disagree and nearly one-quarter (24%) aren’t sure.

Sixty-two percent (62%) consider North Korea’s nuclear developments entirely separate from the war on terror, 22% say the two are linked and 16% aren’t sure. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe the U.S. and its allies are winning the war on terror and 31% believe the terrorists are winning. Twenty-six percent (26%) say neither side has the advantage.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
October 22, 2006

Election 2006: Michigan Senate

Debbie Stabenow (D)

55%

Michael Bouchard (R)

39%

Election 2006: Michigan Senate
Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys

Stabenow

Bouchard

Aug 31-Oct 4-

Oct 22

54%

40%

Aug 10-Aug 31-Oct

52%

42%

Apr-Aug 10-Aug 31

51%

40%

Feb-Apr-
Aug 10

52%

37%

Jan-Feb-Apr

55%

33%

Election 2006: Michigan Senate

Date

Stabenow

Bouchard

Oct 22

55%

39%

Oct 4

56%

39%

Aug 31

51%

43%

Aug 10

49%

44%

Apr 26

54%

34%

Feb 9

54%

33%

Jan 15

56%

31%

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