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Michigan Senate: Stabenow by 8
Stabenow (D) 51%; Bouchard (R) 43%
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Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow has widened the distance between herself and Oakland County Sheriff Michael Bouchard. The incumbent now leads 51% to 43% (see crosstabs). Last month, after winning the GOP nomination, Bouchard had closed to within five points.

Rasmussen Reports continues to list this race as “Leans Democrat” in our Senate Balance of Power ratings.

Bouchard's strong primary win may have given him a slight bounce. An eight-point deficit in a Democratic leaning state is a tough challenge for the Republican candidate, Stabenow is barely over the 50% level of support. Earlier in the year she enjoyed a twenty-point lead over the Republican.

Still, the Senator is well-liked by Democrats and unaffiliated voters. Unlike the Democratic Governor, Senator Stabenow draws solid support from Democrats (89%) throughout the state. She also wins 50% of unaffiliated voters, versus Bouchard's 38%

The latest issue in the campaign is a deal Stabenow arranged with an Ontario environmental official to reduce and then stop the flow of trash from Canada into Michigan. Bouchard has questioned the legitimacy of the deal.

A narrow plurality (40%) of all likely voters see Stabenow as politically liberal; 36% see her as a moderate. Almost three times as many Republicans as Democrats see her as liberal.

Bouchard is viewed as conservative by 30%, moderate by 39%. GOP voters are more likely than Democrats to see him as moderate, but the discrepancy between partisan perceptions is not as great as it is in the case of Stabenow.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members Only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
August 31, 2006

Election 2006: Michigan Senate

Debbie Stabenow (D)

51%

Michael Bouchard (R)

43%

Election 2006: Michigan Senate
Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys

Stabenow

Bouchard

Apr-Aug 10-Aug 31

51%

40%

Feb-Apr-
Aug 10

52%

37%

Jan-Feb-Apr

55%

33%

Election 2006: Michigan Senate

Date

Stabenow

Bouchard

Aug 31

51%

43%

Aug 10

49%

44%

Apr 26

54%

34%

Feb 9

54%

33%

Jan 15

56%

31%

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