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Wyoming House Seat in Play
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Wyoming, a state whose electoral votes George W. Bush captured by 40 percentage points in the 2004 presidential election, may grow a bit more blue this fall.

Not as a result of any change in the governor's seat, now held by a popular Democrat. Our survey shows Governor Dave Freudenthal leading Republican Ray Hunkins 52% to 29%.

Even GOP voters are roughly split between the two gubernatorial candidates. Freudenthal is viewed favorably by 73% of voters, Hunkins by 42% (nearly as many have no opinion of Hunkins).

The contested U.S. Senate seat will not likely change hands either. Senator Craig Thomas, a Republican, also seems to be gliding to reelection, with Thomas besting Democrat Dale Groutage 64% to 25% in our poll. Thomas is viewed favorably by 68% of likely voters, Groutage by 32% (nearly half have no opinion of Groutage).

The one interesting statewide race is the battle for Wyoming's seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Wyoming is one of seven sparsely-populated states which send only a single congressman to that chamber. Since 1942, with one exception, the state's Member-at-Large has been a Republican.

But Representative Barbara Cubin, first elected in 1994, now leads Democratic challenger Gary Trauner by only four percentage points, 47% to 43% and the GOP can hardly take her reelection for granted. This becomes one more contest to which the GOP may have to devote resources during an election year in which the party is proving especially vulnerable.

Congressional Quarterly has just revised its assessment of the seat from "safe" to "Republican favored."

Representative Cubin is viewed favorably by 49%, unfavorably by 47%. Trauner is viewed favorably by 34%, unfavorably by 28%. He's regarded as an unknown by 38%. Only 5% are Not Sure what to think of Cubin.

Most Wyoming voters thing tax increases hurt and tax cuts help the economy.

On the immigration question, 56% say immigrants should be generally welcomed to this country but for criminals, national security threats, and those looking to live off welfare.

Seventy-two percent (72%) believe enforcing existing law and securing the nation's borders should be the priority of policymakers.

Forty-six percent (46%) believe all illegal aliens should be forced to leave the country; 39% disagree.

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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 27, 2006

Election 2006:
Wyoming Governor

Dave Freudenthal (D)

52%

Ray Hunkins (R)

29%

Election 2006:
Wyoming Senate

Craig Thomas (R)

64%

Dale Groutage (D)

25%

Election 2006:
Wyoming House

Barbara Cubin (R)

47%

Gary Trauner (D)

43%

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