According to the most recent Rasmussen Reports election survey of 500 likely Oregon voters, incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Kulongoski is on the move while Republican challenger Ron Saxton remains in limbo. The current survey shows Kulongoski ahead 49% to 35% (see crosstabs). Kulongoski’s lead last month was 45% to 35%.

Saxton earned support from 41% of voters in May—immediately after his primary win —but he has since taken a tumble and is holding steady at 35% for the second straight month. Kulongoski’s numbers have risen steadily during that same period. Only two points separated the candidates in May; the incumbent governor now leads by double digits.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Oregon voters view their Governor as politically moderate. Thirty-six percent (36%) see him as liberal.

Saxton is perceived as conservative by 44% and moderate by 30%.

Both men are seen as substantially closer to the political center than President Bush. Seventy-two percent (72%) of Oregon voters see Bush as politically conservative. Seventeen percent (17%) say moderate.

Twelve percent (12%) of voters report a very favorable opinion of Kulongoski versus 9% for Saxton. On the other side of the spectrum, 16% say they have a very unfavorable view of the governor and 22% say the same of his challenger.

Most Oregon voters (53%) strongly disapprove of President Bush’s job performance. Just 20% strongly approve.

When asked about managing the nation’s economy, 52% say they trust the Democrats in Congress more than the President. Thirty-three percent (33%) chose President Bush. Congressional Democrats also beat the president when it comes to matters of trust regarding national security and the war in Iraq (48% to 37%.)

Only 36% believe the U.S. and its allies are winning the war on terror. Thirty-five percent (35%) say the terrorists are winning and 26% say neither side has the advantage.

Crosstabs are available to Premium Members.