Tuesday, December 13, 2011
A generic Republican candidate leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup for the week ending Sunday, December 11.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds the generic Republican earning 47% support to Obama's 42%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted December 5-December 11, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Support for a generic Republican ties the highest level measured since weekly tracking began in May. Last week, a generic GOP candidate led the president 48% to 42%. The incumbent has led only twice in weekly surveys since late May. Since that time, the Republican has earned 43% to 49% support, while Obama has picked up 40% to 45% of the vote
In head-to-head matchups with named Republican candidates, however, the president leads all GOP hopefuls but two. Surging former House Speaker Newt Gingrich now edges the president 45% to 43%, while former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to run essentially even with Obama.
The president's full-month job approval numbers improved a bit in November but are still lower than at any point prior to a few months ago.
In Florida and Ohio, a generic Republican candidate leads the president at this stage. The numbers between the president and a generic Republican are close in North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Obama leads the Republican in California, but his approval rating has fallen below 50% in the reliably Democratic state.
Rasmussen Reports will provide new data on the generic matchup each Tuesday at 3 pm Eastern until the field of prospective Republican nominees narrows to a few serious contenders.
The survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted November 28-December 4, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.Rasmussen subscribers can log in to read the rest of this article.
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