Thursday, September 23, 2010
Two weeks ago, Blunt led Carnahan by a 53% to 43% margin when leaners were included in the totals. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. Rasmussen Reports now considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.
The race continues to be rated Leans GOP in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.
Results before leaners are added find Blunt with a 50% to 41% edge over Carnahan, showing little change over the past two weeks. From September of 2009 through late August, support for Blunt ranged from 44% to 51% in results excluding leaners. Carnahan’s support ranged from 40% to 46% over the same period.
Blunt and Carnahan are running for the seat being vacated by retiring GOP Senator Christopher "Kit" Bond.
While 75% of Blunt’s supporters are certain of their vote this November, 67% of Carnahan’s backers say the same.
Eighty-eight (88%) of Missouri Republicans back Blunt, while 86% of the state’s Democrats give their vote to Carnahan. Blunt leads Carnahan 59% to 33% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
This survey of 750 Likely Voters in Missouri was conducted on September 21, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.Rasmussen subscribers can log in to read the rest of this article.
ORBecome a member and get full access to all articles and polls starting at $3.95/month.
Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.
Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $3.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.
To learn more about our methodology, click here.