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ELECTION 2010: HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ELECTIONS

  • South Dakota House: Noem (R) Takes Slightly Larger Lead Over Herseth-Sandlin (D)

    Republican Kristi Noem has moved slightly further ahead of incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in South Dakota’s election for the U.S. House of Representatives.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Noem, a state legislator, picking up 49% of the vote, while Herseth-Sandlin draws support from 44%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

    Earlier this month, Noem moved to a 47% to 44% edge after slipping behind in September. Since winning the GOP Primary in June, Noem has been slightly ahead of Herseth-Sandlin in every survey but one with 45% to 53% support. The incumbent has earned 41% to 47% of the vote in that same period and held a slight lead only once, 47% to 45% in early September, following news reports about Noem's driving record.

    Herseth-Sandlin was elected to Congress in 2004 following the resignation of GOP Congressman Bill Janklow who was convicted of manslaughter after he killed a motorcyclist while running a stop sign at high speed.
     
     Despite being one of the few Democrats in Congress to vote against the national health care bill, Herseth-Sandlin is contending with an electorate that’s very unhappy with President Obama and his policies.
     
     (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in South Dakota was conducted on October 20, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    Which candidate do South Dakota voters see as more extreme? Do debates matter to most voters in the state? Become a Platinum member to find out.

  • North Dakota House: Berg (R) Pulls Further Ahead of Pomeroy (D)

    With less than two weeks until Election Day, Republican challenger Rick Berg has moved to a 10-point lead over longtime Democratic Congressman Earl Pomeroy in the race for North Dakota’s only seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in North Dakota shows Berg with 52% support. Pomeroy, a member of the House since 1993, picks up 42% support. One percent (1%) favor some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

    A month ago, Berg held just a 48% to 45% lead. Berg, a businessman and state legislator, has been ahead of Pomeroy in surveys since February with support ranging from 46% to 53%. Support for the incumbent in those same surveys has remained in the narrow range of 43% to 46%.

    The candidates held their third and final debate last Friday.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

    The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 18-19, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    Rasmussen Reports will release new numbers from the North Dakota Senate race later this week.

    Pomeroy voted to pass the national health care bill in the House. How do North Dakota voters feel about the health care bill now? Which candidate’s views are seen as more extreme? Become a Platinum member and find out.

  • South Dakota House: Noem (R) Regains Small Lead Over Herseth-Sandlin (D)

    Republican Kristi Noem has edged back into the lead over incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in South Dakota’s U.S. House race.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in South Dakota finds Noem with 47% support, while Herseth-Sandlin earns 44% of the vote. Six percent (6%) like another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.

    It remains a very close race. Noem fell slightly behind Herseth-Sandlin last month 47% to 45% for the first time since winning the Republican Primary in early June.

    Noem, it appears, is beginning to overcome the impact of news reports about her questionable driving record. Herseth-Sandlin was elected to Congress in 2004 following the resignation of GOP Congressman Bill Janklow who was convicted of manslaughter after he killed a motorcyclist while running a stop sign at high speed.

    Despite being one of the few Democrats in Congress to vote against the national health care bill, Herseth-Sandlin is contending with an electorate that’s very unhappy with President Obama and his policies.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in South Dakota was conducted on October 4, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

  • Wyoming House: Lummis (R) Posts Two-to-One Lead Over Wendt (D)

    Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the race for Wyoming's only seat in the U.S. House of Representatives finds Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis well ahead of Democratic challenger David Wendt.

  • North Dakota House: Pomeroy (D) Still Trails Berg (R)

    Republican challenger Rick Berg continues to hold a modest lead over Democratic Congressman Earl Pomeroy in North Dakota's U.S. House race.

    A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Berg earning 48% of the vote to Pomeroy’s 45%.  One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are not sure.

    Last month, Berg held a 53% to 44% lead.

    In surveys dating back to February, Berg, a businessman and state legislator, has remained consistently ahead of the incumbent.  His support has ranged from a low of 46% to a high of 53%.  In those same surveys, Pomeroy’s support has remained in the narrow range of 43% to 46%.

    Pomeroy, who is running for a 10th term, earns support from 91% of Democrats in the state, while 84% of Republicans favor Berg.  Among voters not affiliated with either party, Pomeroy holds a slight 49% to 41% edge over his GOP challenger.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

    The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on September 20-21, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

  • Vermont House of Representatives: Welch (D) 64%, Beaudry (R) 30%

    Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the race for Vermont's only seat in the U.S. House of Representatives finds Democratic Congressman Peter Welch well ahead of his Republican challenger, Paul Beaudry.

  • South Dakota House: Herseth-Sandlin (D) 47%, Noem 45%

    After leading since June, Republican challenger Kristi Noem has fallen behind incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in the race for South Dakota's only seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely South Dakota Voters shows Herseth-Sandlin with 47% support to Noem's 45%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

     A month ago,  Noem held a 51% to 42% advantage over Herseth-Sandlin, who has been a member of Congress since 2004. 

    Herseth-Sandlin has been running ads noting that she was one of the few Democrats who voted against President Obama's health care bill, which is highly unpopular in South Dakota. Noem, meanwhile, has been battling the recent disclosure of a questionable driving record. Herseth-Sandlin was elected to Congress following the resignation of GOP Congressman Bill Janklow who was convicted of manslaughter after he killed a motorcyclist while running a stop sign at high speed.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in South Dakota was conducted on September 8, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

  • North Dakota House: Berg (R) 53%, Pomeroy (D) 44%Berg

    Republican challenger Rick Berg remains slightly ahead of incumbent Democratic Congressman Earl Pomeroy in the race for North Dakota’s only U.S. House seat.

  • South Dakota House: Noem (R) 51%, Herseth-Sandlin (D) 42%

    Republican Kristi Noem again passes the 50% mark of support this month against incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in the race for South Dakota’s only House seat.

  • North Dakota House: Berg (R) 49%, Pomeroy (D) 46%

    The race to represent North Dakota in the U.S. House of Representatives appears a little tighter this month.