Toplines - Minnesota Presidential Election - May 22, 2008

Minnesota General Election

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

May 22, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

12% Excellent

15% Good

13% Fair

59% Poor

1% Not sure

2* 2008 Presidential General Election Match-Ups

McCain	38%	McCain	38%
Clinton	53%	Obama	53%
Other	7%	Other	4%
Not sure	2%	Not sure	5%

3* Favorable Ratings

	Clinton	Obama	McCain
Very Favorable	23%	33%	15%
Somewhat Favorable	32%	26%	37%
Somewhat Unfavorable	20%	14%	29%
Very Unfavorable	24%	25%	19%
Not sure	1%	2%	1%

4* When thinking about how you will vote in the presidential election, which of the following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration, national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and corruption?

50% Economy

17% War in Iraq

7% Immigration

7% National security

7% Health care

2% Social Security

4% Government ethics and corruption

4% Some other issue

3% Not sure

6* We’re just about finished… John McCain recently gave a speech saying that-- if he is elected President—the United States will win the War in Iraq during his first term in office. McCain also said that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office. If you had to choose just one of those goals as the higher priority, would you rather see the United States win the War in Iraq or get the troops home from Iraq within four years?

36% Win the war

55% Get the troops home

8% Not sure

7* If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

23% Very likely

23% Somewhat likely

26% Not very likely

21% Not at all likely

7% Not sure

8* Okay… if Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

5% Very likely

18% Somewhat likely

33% Not very likely

36% Not at all likely

7% Not sure

9* Fine… If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

12% Very likely

28% Somewhat likely

33% Not very likely

21% Not at all likely

6% Not sure

10* Great… If Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

33% Very likely

34% Somewhat likely

17% Not very likely

10% Not at all likely

7% Not sure

11* Should Hillary Clinton drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

37% Yes

49% No

14% Not sure

12* Should Barack Obama drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

20% Yes

71% No

8% Not sure

13* Which candidate would do better against John McCain in the general election…Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton?

43% Obama
42% Clinton
15% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence