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Virginia Senate: Warner Continues to Dominate Gilmore

There are no surprises in the latest polling on the U.S. Senate race in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds former Democratic Governor Mark Warner’s with 60% of the vote and former Republican Governor Jim Gilmore with 34% (see crosstabs). That’s virtually identical to last month’s results and consistent with every other survey conducted on the race this year. Virginia is the most solid of all the likely Democratic gains in the Senate races this year.

Warner is viewed favorably by 68%, unchanged from a month ago.

Gilmore’s ratings dropped two points to 47% favorable.

Warner has been favored to win the race ever since both candidates announced their intentions to run. The two men are competing for the Senate seat currently held by Republican John Warner (no relation to the Democratic candidate). Warner served as Governor from 2002 to 2006 and Gilmore served from 1998 to 2002. Prior to his term as Governor, Gilmore served as Attorney General of Virginia.

The only Democratic incumbent polling below 50% is New Jersey's Frank Lautenberg.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 25, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Virginia Trends: Gilmore vs. Warner

Date

Gilmore

Warner

10/16/2008

36%

61%

34%

60%

33%

59%

34%

57%

33%

60%

37%

55%

39%

55%

37%

57%

38%

53%

37%

53%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Virginia

 

Gilmore

Warner

Very Favorable

14%

39%

Somewhat Favorable

34%

29%

Somewhat Unfavorable

21%

16%

Very Unfavorable

22%

13%

Not Sure

9%

3%


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.