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Texas Senate: Cornyn Leads By 13, But Support Falls Below 50%

United States Senator John Cornyn’s support in his bid for re-election has once again fallen below 50%. While his support slipped a bit this month, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Texas found the incumbent leading Democratic state legislator Rick Noriega by double digits, 48% to 35%.

Cornyn’s lead in the Lone Star state has decreased slightly from last month, when he had a 52% to 35% advantage. The last two surveys represent a significant improvement from a poll conducted in May that showed he had just a four-point advantage.

This month, Cornyn leads 54% to 36% among men and 42% to 34% among women. The incumbent draws support from 86% of Republicans and 15% of Democrats. Noriega is the top choice for just 68% of Democrats while the race among unaffiliated voters is much tighter.

Cornyn is viewed favorably by 53% and unfavorably by 28%. Noriega is still less known to voters. His numbers are 38% favorable and 38% unfavorable, while 25% have no opinion of him.

The survey also found that half of Texas voters (47%) believe the state’s new “get tough” approach to illegal immigration has made life better in Texas. One-in-five Texas voters (20%) think this new approach has made life worse, while another 23% say it has had no impact. Recently, Many Texas cities have taken steps to curb illegal immigration, like verifying citizenship for workers and apartment renters.

On another topic, 41% believe the decision to stop regulating the state’s electricity providers was a failure. A quarter of voters believe it was a success, while another quarter are somewhere in between.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters say the state’s Republican Governor, Rick Perry, is doing a good or excellent job. Twenty-three percent (23%) say he is doing a poor job. Those figures have changed little.

The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 25, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Texas Trends: Cornyn vs. Noriega

Date

Cornyn

Noriega

10/21/2008

55%

40%

50%

43%

48%

37%

47%

37%

48%

35%

52%

35%

47%

43%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Texas

 

Cornyn

Noriega

Very Favorable

26%

18%

Somewhat Favorable

33%

25%

Somewhat Unfavorable

23%

24%

Very Unfavorable

9%

18%

Not Sure

9%

16%


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.