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New Mexico Senate: Udall Opens 20-Point Lead

As Democrats dream of winning 60 seats to create a filibuster-proof Senate, New Mexico’s Tom Udall is doing his part. His lead over Republican Steve Pearce continues to grow and has now reached 20 percentage points.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Mexico shows Udall with 57% of the vote while Pearce is supported by just 37%. This is the seventh time in eight polls that Udall has enjoyed a double-digit lead. Two weeks ago, was up by fourteen, 55% to 41%.

Udall and Pearce are seeking to replace retiring Senator Pete Domenici, a Republican who has been in the Senate since 1973. Both candidates chose to leave the U.S. House of Representatives to compete for the open seat.

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Udall earns favorable reviews from 64% of the state’s voters, up eight points from the previous survey. Pearce gets positive ratings from 43%, unchanged over the past two weeks.

Udall attracts support from 88% of Democrats and enjoys a two-to-one advantage over Pearce among unaffiliated voters. Pearce is now supported by just 75% of Republicans, down from 82% earlier (see full demographic crosstabs).

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives Udall a % chance of winning the New Mexico Senate race. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Governor Bill Richardson, a Democrat, earns good or excellent ratings from 48% of voters in New Mexico, while 17% say he is doing a poor job.

New results for the presidential race in New Mexico will be released at 5 p.m. Eastern today.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

New Mexico Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Pearce (R)

41%

40%

65%

Udall (D)

56%

56%

35%

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


New Mexico Trends: Udall vs. Pearce

Date

Udall

Pearce

10/28/2008

56%

41%

10/13/2008

57%

37%

10/01/2008

55%

41%

09/08/2008

51%

44%

08/20/2008

51%

41%

07/24/2008

59%

34%

06/18/2008

58%

30%

05/14/2008

53%

37%

04/08/2008

54%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in New Mexico

 

Pearce

Udall

Very Favorable

27%

38%

Somewhat Favorable

22%

20%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

16%

Very Unfavorable

27%

24%

Not Sure

4%

3%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.