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Election 2008: New Mexico Senate
Udall Leads by 15 in New Mexico Senate Race

The Senate race in New Mexico has tightened somewhat, but Democrat Tom Udall still remains far ahead of Republican Steve Pearce. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Udall leading his opponent 56% to 41%.

Two weeks ago, the Democrat held a 20-point lead over Pearce. This is now the ninth straight poll Udall has held a double-digit lead over Pearce since tracking began back in April.

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Udall and Pearce are seeking to replace retiring Senator Pete Domenici, a Republican who has been in the Senate since 1973. Both candidates chose to leave the U.S. House of Representatives to compete for the open seat.

Udall is now viewed favorably by 58% of voters, down from 64% two weeks ago. Forty percent (40%) view the Democrat unfavorably, up from 33%. Pearce is viewed favorably by 49%, up from 43% two weeks ago. The Republican is viewed unfavorably by 47%, down from 53% in the last poll.

The Democrat still holds a dominant lead among unaffiliated voters in the latest poll. He also leads by 28 percentage points among women. The race has tightened among men, who now favor Udall 50% to 47%. Just two weeks ago, Udall held an eight-point lead among men.

Udall is just one of many Democratic candidates hoping to fill Republican seats in the Senate this election. Other GOP seats at risk include Alaska, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, New Mexico, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Georgia and Oregon.

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives Udall a % chance of winning the New Mexico Senate race. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Democratic Governor Bill Richardson earns good or excellent ratings from 48% of voters in New Mexico, while 20% rate his performance as poor.

The latest poll on the New Mexico presidential race finds Barack Obama leading John McCain 54% to 44%.

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New Mexico Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Pearce (R)

41%

40%

65%

Udall (D)

56%

56%

35%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


New Mexico Trends: Udall vs. Pearce

Date

Udall

Pearce

10/28/2008

56%

41%

10/13/2008

57%

37%

10/01/2008

55%

41%

09/08/2008

51%

44%

08/20/2008

51%

41%

07/24/2008

59%

34%

06/18/2008

58%

30%

05/14/2008

53%

37%

04/08/2008

54%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in New Mexico

 

Pearce

Udall

Very Favorable

27%

38%

Somewhat Favorable

22%

20%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

16%

Very Unfavorable

27%

24%

Not Sure

4%

3%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.