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Election 2008: Nebraska Senate
Nebraska Senate: Johanns Ahead by 14

Former Republican Governor Mike Johanns now leads Democrat Scott Kleeb 52% to 38% in Nebraska’s Senate race, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

Johanns’ lead, though still solid, is down from the 25-point advantage he held in July. The closest the race has ever been was 15 points in May.

Johanns and Kleeb are seeking to replace Republican Senator Chuck Hagel, who decided not to run for re-election this year.

In addition to serving as Nebraska’s governor, Johanns served as secretary of Agriculture under George W. Bush. Kleeb, who is just 32 years old, ran for Congress from Nebraska’s 3rd Congressional District in 2006. He lost that race by 10 percentage points but easily won the Democratic Primary last month to represent his party in this year’s Senate race.

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This month, Kleeb has taken the lead among unaffiliated voters in Nebraska, 43% to 35%. That’s a big shift from July, when Johanns led this group of voters by a 47% to 30% margin. Among men, the Republican leads 53% to 37%. Women favor Johanns by a 52% to 40% margin.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Johanns has a % chance of winning Nebraska’s Senate race in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom.

Johanns is viewed favorably by 59% of voters in Nebraska and unfavorably by 34%. Kleeb’s ratings are 52% favorable, 32% unfavorable.

Data from the Nebraska’s presidential election will be released today at 5 p.m. Eastern.

While Republicans seem likely to hold onto the Senate seat in Nebraska, many GOP seats remain at risk, including ones in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Minnesota, Minnesota, North Carolina, and Virginia,.

Governor Dave Heineman, a Republican, continues to earn high marks from voters in Nebraska. He earns good or excellent ratings from 64% of voters, while just nine percent (9%) say he is doing a poor job.

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Nebraska Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll A vg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Johanns (R)

52%

56%

83%

Kleeb (D)

38%

34%

14%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Nebraska Trends: Johanns vs. Kleeb

Date

Johanns

Kleeb

09/30/2008

52%

38%

07/28/2008

56%

31%

06/23/2008

60%

33%

05/15/2008

55%

44%

Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Nebraska

 

Johanns

Kleeb

Very Favorable

27%

17%

Somewhat Favorable

32%

35%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

22%

Very Unfavorable

15%

10%

Not Sure

8%

16%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.