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Minnesota Senate Race Still a Toss-Up

The United States Senate race in Minnesota remains a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Minnesota voters shows Republican incumbent Norm Coleman attracting 44% of the vote and challenger Al Franken earning 43%. Two weeks ago, it was Franken by two. A month ago, it was Coleman by three.

Franken’s support has stayed between 43% and 45% in five straight polls. Coleman’s support had been in the 46% to 50% range for five straight polls conducted from February through June. However, his support has been lower in a pair of July polls.

When leaners are included in the current poll, it’s Franken with a slight edge, 49% to 46%. Leaners are survey participants who initially don’t support either candidate but express a preference for one candidate during a follow-up question.

Earlier this month, the buzz around this race all focused on former Governor Jesse Ventura who very publicly flirted with the idea of making it a three-man race. Waiting until the very last moment—the night before the filing deadline--Ventura announced on the Larry King Show that he will not enter the campaign.

Coleman was first elected to the Senate six years ago, with just under 50% of the vote. He came in second to Ventura in a three-way race for governor in 1998.

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This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

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Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Coleman

43%

39%

50%

Franken

39%

41%

47%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Minnesota Trends: Coleman vs. Franken

Date

Coleman

Franken

10/28/2008

43%

39%

10/22/2008

37%

41%

10/09/2008

37%

43%

09/18/2008

48%

47%

08/13/2008

45%

45%

07/22/2008

44%

43%

07/10/2008

42%

44%

06/11/2008

48%

45%

05/22/2008

47%

45%

04/22/2008

50%

43%

03/19/2008

48%

46%

02/16/2008

46%

49%


Favorable Ratings For Senate Candidates in Minnesota

 

Coleman

Franken

Very Favorable

24%

18%

Somewhat Favorable

27%

29%

Somewhat Unfavorable

26%

13%

Very Unfavorable

22%

38%

Not Sure

1%

2%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.