The Michigan senate race has changed little over the past month. Democratic Senator Carl Levin continues to enjoy a big lead over State Representative Jack Hoogendyk, 54% to 33%. When “leaners” are included, the incumbent leads 59% to 36%.
Last month, Levin led 55% to 35%. In May, he led 54% to 37%. Levin has served in the United States Senate for the past thirty years. He has won each of his last three re-election bids with 58% to 60% of the vote. He has not faced a serious election threat since 1984. Levin is currently serving as Chairman of the Senate’s Committee on Armed Services.
This month, Levin is backed by 86% of Michigan Democrats and 11% of Republicans. Hoogendyk’s support comes from 80% of Republicans and 6% of Democrats. Among unaffiliated voters, Levin leads 50% to 25%.
Levin draws support from 23% of Conservative voters, 74% of Moderate voters, and 92% of Liberal voters. Hoogendyk’s base consists of 65% of Conservatives, 16% of Moderates and 6% of Liberals.
The incumbent leads 51% to 39% among men in Michigan and 56% to 29% among women.
Levin is viewed favorably by 61%, up from 58% last month, and unfavorably by 34%. Hoogendyk is still less known to voters at this point. His numbers are 38% favorable, 35% unfavorable, while 26% have no opinion.
Governor of Michigan Jennifer Granholm (D) earns good or excellent ratings from 30% of voters this month. That number has remained unchanged over the past month. Forty-two percent (42%) of voters in Michigan give the governor a poor rating, up from 39% last month.
In Michigan’s Presidential race, Barack Obama has a eight-point lead over John McCain.
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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
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Michigan Trends: Levin vs. Hoogendyk |
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|---|---|---|
|
Date |
Levin |
Hoogendyk |
|
10/08/2008 |
61% |
36% |
|
57% |
38% |
|
|
56% |
36% |
|
|
54% |
33% |
|
|
55% |
35% |
|
|
54% |
37% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Michigan |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Levin |
Hoogendyk |
|
|
Very Favorable |
31% |
12% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
28% |
24% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
16% |
25% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
18% |
12% |
|
Not Sure |
7% |
26% |
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.