There are no surprises in the latest numbers from the Senate election in Massachusetts. The newest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds incumbent John Kerry well ahead of Republican Jeff Beatty, 58% to 27% in his bid for re-election.
Last month, Kerry led Beatty 63% to 25% in the Bay State. He also led Republican Jim Ogonowski, who has since left the race, 63% to 29%. Ogonowski failed by a narrow margin to collect enough signatures to qualify for the Republican primary ballot, leaving Beatty unopposed for the nomination.
The former Presidential candidate is viewed favorably by 60% of Massachusetts voters, up from 54% last month. He is viewed unfavorably by 39%, up from 32% in June. Beatty is less known to voters. His numbers are 25% favorable, 30% unfavorable, and 44% have no opinion. Those numbers have changed little over the past month.
Rasmussen Markets data shows that Kerry is given a % chance of winning re-election in November. These figures are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants.
Only two states feature races with potentially vulnerable Democrats—Louisiana and New Jersey.
Governor Deval Patrick earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of Massachusetts voters, up from 36% last month. Twenty-one percent (21%) give him a poor rating, down from 23% last month.
In the Presidential race, Barack Obama is well ahead of John McCain in the historically blue state.
See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
|
Massachusetts Trends: Beatty vs. Kerry |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
Beatty |
Kerry |
|
10/13/2008 |
31% |
63% |
|
30% |
65% |
|
|
29% |
56% |
|
|
06/30/2008 |
27% |
58% |
|
25% |
63% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Massachusetts |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Kerry |
Beatty |
|
|
Very Favorable |
24% |
9% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
41% |
25% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
16% |
27% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
18% |
8% |
|
Not Sure |
1% |
31% |
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
