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Maine Senate: Collins Doubles Lead over Allen

Maine Senator Susan Collins has more than doubled her lead over Democratic challenger Tom Allen in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state. The Republican incumbent is ahead 53% to 38%.

When “leaners” are included, Collins leads 55% to 40%.

The new numbers mark a big improvement for Collins, who had just a seven-point lead and earned below 50% support from voters in July. She now has her highest level of support since April. Incumbents who fail to break above 50% are generally viewed as vulnerable.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Collins a % chance of winning re-election in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join, so add your voice to the collective wisdom.

The incumbent is viewed favorably by 67% and unfavorably by 29%. Allen’s ratings are 54% favorable, 37% unfavorable.

Collins now enjoys a dominant 55% to 32% lead among unaffiliated voters in Maine. She even earns support from 29% of Democrats. The incumbent leads by identical 53% to 38% margins among both men and women in the state.

Collins is currently seeking her third term in Senate, and serves as a ranking member of the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. Her opponent is a member of the House of Representatives.

Collins’ numbers have improved and things have gotten a bit better for other Senate Republicans including Elizabeth Dole of North Carolina and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky. Still, many other Republican Senate seats are considered potentially vulnerable at this time including seats in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Minnesota, and Virginia.

Maine Governor John Baldacci, a Democrat, earns good or excellent ratings from just 26% of voters, while 28% think he is doing a poor job.

Barack Obama has expanded his lead over John McCain in Maine’s Presidential race.

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Maine Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Collins (R)

57%

55%

59%

Allen (D)

41%

42%

41%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 12, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Maine Trends: Collins (R) vs. Allen (D)

Date

Collins

Allen

11/01/2008

57%

41%

10/02/2008

53%

43%

09/17/2008

55%

42%

08/12/2008

53%

38%

07/17/2008

49%

42%

06/16/2008

49%

42%

05/14/2008

52%

42%

04/01/2008

54%

38%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Maine

 

Collins

Allen

Very Favorable

29%

20%

Somewhat Favorable

40%

31%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

23%

Very Unfavorable

11%

23%

Not Sure

1%

3%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.