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Collins Leads 53% to 43% in Maine Senate Race

With one month to go, incumbent Senator Susan Collins has a 10-point lead on her Democratic challenger Tom Allen in Maine, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

Collins, a Republican seeking a third six-year term, is ahead 53% to 43%, down from a 13-point lead a month ago and 15 points in August. It was a seven-point race in June and July.

Across the country, many Republican candidates seem to be suffering from growing voter fears about the economy. Nationally, Barack Obama has opened a steady lead over John McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

In Maine, Obama leads McCain 51% to 46%, nearly identical to the findings in mid-September.

While Collins remains above the critical 50% line for incumbents, Republican Senate seats are at risk in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Minnesota, North Carolina and Virginia.

Collins has the support of 94% of Maine Republicans and 20% of Democrats. Allen, presently a congressman from Maine, is backed by 80% of Democratic voters and three percent (3%) of Republicans. Unaffiliated voters prefer Collins 55% to 37%.

Men give Collins a 13-point lead over Allen, and she has a seven-point edge among women voters. Collins has lost ground among men but gained among women.

The incumbent is viewed favorably by 67% and unfavorably by 33%. Fifty-two percent (52%) have a favorable opinion of Allen, while 45% regard him unfavorably. Collins’ numbers are virtually unchanged, but Allen’s unfavorables have risen by five.

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on October 2, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Maine Trends: Collins (R) vs. Allen (D)

Date

Collins

Allen

11/01/2008

57%

41%

53%

43%

55%

42%

53%

38%

49%

42%

06/16/2008

49%

42%

52%

42%

54%

38%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Maine

 

Collins

Allen

Very Favorable

29%

20%

Somewhat Favorable

40%

31%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

23%

Very Unfavorable

11%

23%

Not Sure

1%

3%


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.