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Louisiana Senate: Landrieu Leads in Louisiana Senate Bid

U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu now attracts 49% of the vote in her bid for re-election while Republican challenger John Kennedy earns 44%. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows that, when “leaners” are included, it’s Landrieu 51% Kennedy 45%.

A month ago, it was Landrieu 47%, Kennedy 44%.

The fact that Landrieu has held her own and even inched up a couple of points is especially significant given that John McCain opened a huge lead over Barack Obama in the Bayou State over the past month. Just 67% of McCain voters say they’ll also vote for Kennedy. Twenty-seven percent (27%) of GOP voters plan on splitting their ticket by voting Republican in the Presidential race and Democratic in the Senate race.

Landrieu picks up 83% of the African-American vote but also manages to win 44% of the White vote. In the Presidential race, Obama draws very little support from white Louisiana voters.

The incumbent Senator attracts 74% of Democrats and has a thirty percentage point lead among unaffiliated voters. Kennedy wins 82% of the Republican vote.

Landrieu is viewed favorably by 59% of the state’s voters, Kennedy by 55%. Those figures have changed little in the past month.

Three out of four Louisiana voters (75%) think drilling in offshore oil wells should be allowed in the United States and Landrieu has taken a position closer to her state’s voters than to the Democratic leadership in Washington. Landrieu favors a proposal that would allow offshore drilling only if provisions requiring Americans to conserve and consume less energy are include. Half (50%) in Louisiana favor a proposal requiring Americans to conserve energy and reduce the amount of oil they consume.

The survey also found that 52% of voters favor a proposal to allow offshore drilling if it included a provision requiring Americans to conserve energy. An identical percentage favored a proposal allowing offshore drilling without a conservation requirement.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Landrieu has a % chance of winning re-election in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom.

Incumbents who poll below 50% are generally considered potentially vulnerable. Landrieu is one of only two incumbent Democrats in that category (the other is New Jersey’s Frank Lautenberg). Many Republican Senate seats are potentially in play for Democrats including seats in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Minnesota, Virginia, and Kentucky.

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Louisiana Leans Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Kennedy (R)

43%

40%

48%

Landrieu (D)

53%

53%

52%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Louisiana Trends: Kennedy vs. Landrieu

Date

Kennedy

Landrieu

10/21/2008

43%

53%

09/25/2008

41%

54%

08/14/2008

37%

53%

07/09/2008

44%

49%

05/28/2008

44%

47%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Louisiana

 

Landrieu (D)

Kennedy (R)

Very Favorable

34%

13%

Somewhat Favorable

22%

33%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

28%

Very Unfavorable

25%

20%

Not Sure

2%

6%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.