If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

Kansas Senate: Roberts Regains Double-digit Lead over Slattery

Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts has taken a nearly two-to-one lead – 57% to 30% -- over his Democratic opponent, former Representative Jim Slattery, in Kansas, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of state voters.

When “leaners” are included, Roberts leads 61% to 33%.

In early June, Roberts, who is seeking a third six-year term, appeared more vulnerable when his level of support dropped below 50%. He led Slattery 48% to 39%. In May, Roberts had a 52% to 40% lead.

Roberts, a former journalist, was first elected to the Senate in 1996, after serving 16 years in the House of Representatives. He was re-elected in 2002 with the largest margin ever for a statewide office in Kansas. Slattery also served in the House from 1983 until 1995 before founding a real estate company.

In the new survey, Roberts made up ground among both male and female voters. Last month, he led Slattery 54% to 36% among men; now he’s ahead 62% to 30%. The two were essentially dead even among female voters in June, but Roberts has now jumped out to 53% to 30% lead.

The incumbent is also backed by 84% of Republicans, a pick-up of 5% since June, and 22% of Democrats. Slattery’s support comes from 67% of Democrats, down 6% since last month, and 9% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, Roberts now has a huge 52% to 23% advantage, after trailing Slattery by five points among unaffiliateds in June.

The incumbent is viewed favorably by 62% and unfavorably by 32% of voters in the Sunflower State, numbers that are largely unchanged from June. Slattery, by contrast, is rated favorably by only 40% and unfavorably by 39%, a shift over the past month of eight points from the favorable column to the unfavorable.

Roberts is one of the few Republican incumbents who appears to be in the clear this election year. At least eight other Republican Senate seats are potentially in play for Democrats including seats in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Virginia, and Kentucky. Republican seats in Texas, Nebraska and Georgia appear to be safe for the GOP.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Roberts has a % chance of winning re-election in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join , so add your voice to the collective wisdom.

Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius, a Democrat, earns good or excellent ratings from 53% of state voters. Twenty-two percent (22%) say she is doing a poor job.

Republican presidential hopeful John McCain has a big lead over his Democratic opponent Barack Obama in Kansas, a longtime red state. In 2004, George W. Bush won the state 62% to 34%. The state has not cast its six Electoral College votes for a Democratic candidate since 1964. Kansas is classified as “Likely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Kansas Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Roberts (R)

55%

56%

83%

Slattery (D)

36%

37%

9% (L)

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Kansas Trends: Roberts vs. Slattery

Date

Roberts

Slattery

10/13/2008

55%

36%

09/18/2008

58%

38%

08/11/2008

55%

36%

07/15/2008

57%

30%

06/11/2008

48%

39%

05/13/2008

52%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Kansas

 

Roberts

Slattery

Very Favorable

32%

8%

Somewhat Favorable

25%

28%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

27%

Very Unfavorable

15%

23%

Not Sure

9%

14%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of10 Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.