Iowa Senator Tom Harkin, in his bid for a fifth term, still holds a 16-point lead over Republican challenger Christopher Reed.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Iowa voters finds Harkin ahead 52% to 36%. When “leaners” are included, the incumbent leads 55% to 37%.
The incumbent is viewed favorably by 60% of Iowa voters and unfavorably by 35%. Reed, a businessman and Navy veteran who has never previously held public office, is less known to Iowa voters. He won a three-way primary to get the GOP nomination. Reed’s numbers are 41% favorable and 29% unfavorable, while 31% have no opinion.
Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Harkin has a % chance of winning re-election in November.
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Iowa Governor Chet Culver earns good or excellent ratings from 46% of voters, up from 41% last month. For the second month in a row, 20% rank the governor’s job performance as poor.
In Iowa’s race for President, Barack Obama has taken a 10-point lead over John McCain.
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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
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Iowa Trends: Reed vs. Harkin |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
Reed |
Harkin |
|
10/23/2008 |
41% |
57% |
|
40% |
54% |
|
|
34% |
58% |
|
|
36% |
52% |
|
|
37% |
53% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Iowa |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Reed |
Harkin |
|
|
Very Favorable |
16% |
36% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
31% |
26% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
21% |
17% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
9% |
21% |
|
Not Sure |
23% |
1% |
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
