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Georgia Senate: Chambliss Has Big Lead Over Five Democrats Seeking His Job

Five Democrats are vying for the right to challenge U.S. Senator Saxby Chambliss (R-GA) in his bid for re-election. All five will meet face-to-face this afternoon in a debate sponsored by Atlanta’s Fox 5 TV station.

As they enter the debate, all five are trailing Chambliss badly in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state. Against each of the Democrats, Chambliss attracts between 52% and 57% of the vote. The Democrats attract from 30% to 39% support and trail by margins ranging from thirteen to twenty-seven percentage points. Rasmussen Markets data shows the Chambliss is currently given a % chance of keeping his job this November . These figures are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and share your opinion.

Chambliss is viewed favorably by 57% of voters statewide. The incumbent Senator was an upset winner over incumbent Democratic Sen. Max Cleland in 2002, besting him 53% to 46%. In Georgia’s Presidential race, John McCain leads Barack Obama.

The most competitive Democrat in the Senate race at the moment is former state lawmaker Jim Martin who trails Chambliss 52% to 39%. A former TV reporter, Dale Cardwell, trails by twenty points (53% to 33%). DeKalb County’s Chief Executive Officer Vernon Jones trails by twenty-seven points, 57% to 30%. For Cardwell, those numbers are a bit weaker than a month ago while totals for the other two candidates remains unchanged.

Two candidates not surveyed before are a local businessman--Rand Knight--and a retired businessman Josh Lanier. Chambliss leads Knight 55% to 31% and Lanier 54% to 31%.

The debate between the five Democrats will be simulcast by Fox 5 online.

While Chambliss continues to hold his own in Georgia, Democrats are looking to pick up several Republican Senate seats this November. Many Republican Senate seats are potentially in play for Democrats including seats in Alaska, New Hampshire, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Minnesota, Virginia, and Kentucky. So far, just two Democratic incumbents are polling below 50%--Mary Landrieu in Louisiana and Frank Lautenberg in New Jersey.

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Georgia Leans Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Chambliss (R)

50%

48%

53%

Martin (D)

46%

45%

46%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 26, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Georgia Trends: Chambliss vs. Cardwell

Date

Chambliss

Cardwell

06/26/2008

53%

33%

06/04/2008

52%

37%

05/06/2008

51%

37%

03/20/2008

52%

36%

Georgia Trends: Chambliss vs. Jones

Date

Chambliss

Jones

07/17/2008

59%

29%

06/26/2008

57%

30%

06/04/2008

56%

33%

05/06/2008

58%

30%

03/20/2008

56%

30%

Georgia Trends: Chambliss vs. Martin

Date

Chambliss

Martin

11/18/2008

50%

46%

10/30/2008

48%

43%

10/22/2008

47%

45%

10/07/2008

50%

44%

09/16/2008

50%

43%

08/14/2008

48%

43%

07/17/2008

51%

40%

06/26/2008

52%

39%

06/04/2008

52%

36%

05/06/2008

54%

33%

03/20/2008

51%

33%

Georgia Trends: Chambliss vs. Knight

Date

Chambliss

Knight

06/26/2008

55%

31%

Georgia Trends: Chambliss vs. Lanier

Date

Chambliss

Lanier

06/26/2008

54%

31%

Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Georgia

 

Chambliss

Martin

Very Favorable

29%

26%

Somewhat Favorable

29%

24%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

22%

Very Unfavorable

22%

25%

Not Sure

3%

4%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.