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Chambliss Ahead By Just Two in Georgia

The U.S. Senate race in Georgia has grown a whole lot closer over the past two weeks. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds GOP incumbent Saxby Chambliss leading Democratic challenger Jim Martin by just 47% to 45%.

This is the closest the race has been all year and the highest level of support for Martin, whose campaign has spent roughly half-a-million dollars on attack ads against Chambliss over the past month. Just two weeks ago, Chambliss held a six-point lead.

Libertarian Party candidate Allen Buckley earns one percent (1%) of the vote in the latest poll.

Unaffiliated voters still favor Chambliss by a 50% to 47% margin. But Chambliss’ advantage among men has dropped over the past week, from 15 points to six. Martin continues to hold a two-point advantage among women for the second straight poll, 47% to 45%. (Premium Members can view full demographic crosstabs).

Rasmussen Markets data gives Chambliss has a % chance of winning re-election in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom.

Favorability ratings for the senator also have dropped over the past two weeks. Chambliss is now viewed favorably by 51% of voters, down from 57% two weeks ago, and unfavorably by 43%, up from 37%. For Martin, the numbers are 48% favorable, 43% unfavorable. His ratings have improved since the last poll. Two weeks ago, the challenger was viewed favorably by 45%, unfavorably by 38%.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Governor Sonny Perdue, a Republican, earns good or excellent ratings from 45% of voters in Georgia, up from 39% two weeks ago, when voters were frustrated over the state’s gas shortage. Twenty-four percent (24%) give the governor’s job performance a poor rating.

The latest numbers on the presidential race in Georgia will be released today at 5 p.m.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Georgia Leans Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Chambliss (R)

50%

48%

53%

Martin (D)

46%

45%

46%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Georgia Trends: Chambliss vs. Martin

Date

Chambliss

Martin

11/18/2008

50%

46%

10/30/2008

48%

43%

10/22/2008

47%

45%

10/07/2008

50%

44%

09/16/2008

50%

43%

08/14/2008

48%

43%

07/17/2008

51%

40%

06/26/2008

52%

39%

06/04/2008

52%

36%

05/06/2008

54%

33%

03/20/2008

51%

33%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Georgia

 

Chambliss

Martin

Very Favorable

29%

26%

Somewhat Favorable

29%

24%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

22%

Very Unfavorable

22%

25%

Not Sure

3%

4%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.