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Colorado Senate: Udall’s Lead Cut to Two

The U.S. Senate race in Colorado has gotten even closer over the past month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state now finds Democrat Mark Udall with a modest 46% to 44% edge over Republican Bob Schaffer.

In August, Udall led the race by a 48% to 41% margin. The gap has steadily decreased since Udall’s biggest lead in mid-June. The two men are competing to replace retiring Republican Senator Wayne Allard.

Though his lead overall has slipped, Udall is still ahead 47% to 34% among unaffiliated voters. He also leads 50% to 39% among women. Schaffer has a 48% to 42% edge among men.

Udall is viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 44%. Schaffer’s ratings are 45% favorable, 43% unfavorable.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Udall has a % chance of winning Colorado’s Senate race in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom.

Democratic Governor Bill Ritter earns good or excellent ratings from 44% of voters, while 21% say he is doing a poor job.

Colorado’s presidential race is one of the biggest toss-ups in this year’s election.

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Rasmussen Reports will release other state polling on the presidential race weeknights at 5:00 Eastern. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, follows the race on a national basis and is updated every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. (Sign up for a free daily e-mail update).

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Colorado Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

2002 Results

Schaffer (R)

44%

43%

51%

Udall (D)

51%

48%

46%

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Colorado Trends: Udall (D) vs. Schaffer (R)

Date

Udall

Schaffer

10/16/2008

51%

44%

09/23/2008

46%

44%

08/13/2008

47%

41%

07/21/2008

47%

43%

06/17/2008

49%

40%

05/19/2008

47%

41%

04/16/2008

45%

42%

03/17/2008

46%

43%

02/11/2008

43%

44%

11/28/2007

41%

42%


Favorable Ratings for Senate Candidates in Colorado

 

Udall (D)

Schaffer (R)

Very Favorable

25%

18%

Somewhat Favorable

28%

29%

Somewhat Unfavorable

18%

20%

Very Unfavorable

26%

28%

Not Sure

4%

5%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.