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McCain Ahead Again in Virginia, 50% to 48%

John McCain has regained his modest lead in Virginia, where he now bests Barack Obama 50% to 48% in the latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

A week ago, the race was tied at 48% apiece. Two weeks ago, it was McCain 49% and Obama 47%.

Neither candidate has led the race by more than two percentage points since June, making the historically Republican state one of the biggest toss-ups in this year’s election. However, this marks the first time McCain has reached the 50% level since March.

In the survey taken Sunday night, McCain has regained the lead among unaffiliated voters he had two weeks ago. He now tops Obama 54% to 41% among this group of voters.

Men favor McCain by 12 points. Women give Obama the edge by seven (demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members).

Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel will jointly release a series of battleground state polls every Monday night at 6:00 p.m. Eastern. See overview of all polling released this week with results from Florida, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

Nationally, the race between Obama and McCain is very close in the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll which is updated every morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern.

In Virginia, over 40% of voters say they would be comfortable if McCain or Obama and their respective running mates are elected. But Obama and Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin make voters most uncomfortable. Forty-five percent (45%) say they would not be comfortable at all with Palin as vice president, and 42% say that of Obama as president.

Forty-nine percent (49%) trust McCain in general more than Obama, but nearly as many (45%) disagree. Voters are nearly evenly divided when asked who they trust more on the economy and jobs. But McCain has a 56% to 40% margin in terms of trust on national security issues.

Just over half of voters (51%) say they would ask advice from McCain if they had to make the toughest decision of their lives versus 40% who say they would ask Obama.

NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Governor Tim Kaine, who was on Obama’s short list of possible running mates, gets good or excellent marks for job performance from 47%, while 20% say he’s doing a poor job. These numbers are identical to a week ago.

George W. Bush carried Virginia in both the 2000 and 2004 elections. Now, however, 36% rate his job performance as good or excellent, while 48% give him poor marks.

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See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Virginia Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

47%

51%

47%

51%

44%

54%

47%

50%

48%

50%

47%

50%

45%

50%

50%

48%

48%

48%

49%

47%

45%

46%

44%

44%

44%

45%

47%

44%

52%

41%

49%

44%

45%

43%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Virginia

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

36%

46%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

9%

Somewhat Unfavorable

24%

10%

Very Unfavorable

19%

33%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.