Oregon shows no indication of becoming a swing state in the race for the White House this year.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Oregon voters shows Barack Obama leads John McCain by 10 percentage points, 47% to 37%. That’s virtually identical to last month’s results when Obama led 46% to 37%.
When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 52% to 42%.
This is the sixth Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Oregon for Election 2008, and the Republican has never been closer than six points behind. Four times, Obama has enjoyed an eight-to-10 point lead, and once he was up by 14.
Nationally, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows the Democrat holding a modest lead over McCain.
Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of Oregon voters, down six points from a month ago. McCain earns favorable reviews from 54%, down a single point.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) say it is more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy Americans consume. Thirty-three percent (33%) disagree and say reducing consumption is more important. Those figures, too, are similar to the national average.
Forty-six percent (46%) say that most reporters are trying to help Obama win the election while only 14% think they are trying to help McCain. Just 24% think reporters try to offer unbiased coverage. Nationally, 49% believe that reporters are trying to help Obama. A separate national survey found that most voters believe media bias is a bigger problem than big campaign donors.
Just 30% of Oregon voter say that President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, up a point from last month. However, 54% say he is doing a poor job, also up a point since July.
See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
|
Oregon Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
10/30/2008 |
42% |
54% |
|
41% |
54% |
|
|
43% |
54% |
|
|
47% |
51% |
|
|
37% |
47% |
|
|
37% |
46% |
|
|
06/11/2008 |
38% |
46% |
|
38% |
52% |
|
|
42% |
48% |
|
|
40% |
49% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Oregon |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
27% |
43% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
28% |
15% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
24% |
10% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
20% |
29% |
|
Not Sure |
2% |
2% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
